i was talking about florida a moment ago and the "miami herald" poll shows romney with a seven-point lead. but in ohio, this is interesting, the president had a substantial lead there. now look at it, in the margin of error. about only line, florida, north carolina, lesser extent, virginia, are all going for governor romney. governor romney can win those states and the president will be re-elected if he holds ohio. ohio now is the key if the race freezes. >>gregg: and the real clear politics electoral map, this is what really counts you have to win the state and win the electoral votes. talk to us about this. >>pat: what is happening, look at yellow, ladies and gentleman. we see, now, that wisconsin, michigan, which everyone thought was in solid for obama is now undecided, so is pennsylvania. maine has moved to leaning. wisconsin is a battleground state. shear my theory. we are seeing faster movement in states that had no add veer tieing and have been left aside. that means the problem with ohio could be this $49 million spent by obama. and how early the obama ground organization was